Trade Introversion in BRICS
Pavel Teslya
The global economy has long demonstrated an increase in the scale of trade, leading to the openness of economic systems. National economies benefi ted from participation in the international division of labor due to the effects associated with the exploitation of comparative advantage, as discovered by the 18th-century political economist David Ricardo. Recent events indicate that this benefi cial process of global economic integration has come to an end. Here are the key facts: the widespread use of sanctions is turning them into a weapon of war; tariff blackmail, which the US uses to force the world to accept its terms of trade, is disrupting global value chains; the active formation of political and economic unions creates a protective barrier for the global South from the dictate of the global North, but at the same time weakens ties to sources of capital and technology – all of this is evidence of the disintegration of global economic ties, the emergence of a trend toward the localization of trade processes and the closure of economic interactions within local unions. This process has received the not yet widely used term ‘introversion’ in the literature. This study assesses trade introversion within BRICS since its inception. There are many theories regarding the founding of BRICS, ranging from Yevgeny Primakov’s proposal of a multipolar world in 1994 to the fi rst BRICS summit held in Yekaterinburg in 2009. The author favors the latter interpretation. BRICS is characterized by its amorphous nature, informal procedures, and relaxed governance practices. Nevertheless, BRICS has demonstrated a high degree of coordination in the trade policies of its member countries, as demonstrated by the study’s results.
For the purposes of this study, a simple statistical indicator, called the Trade Extroversion Index, was developed due to the fact that an introversion index already exists in the literature. The extroversion index addresses the same objectives as the introversion index, but has signifi cant advantages. UN databases serve as the statistical basis for the calculations.